Homework 3: Delphi Method

1.
Will Mac take control of the software market from Microsoft?

Why do I say it this way?
Simple and no ambiguity other then “software market”
Wish I could say something other then software market…

2.
What we did is more or less how Wikipedia describes the Delphi method only it says we should use experts. Another website, creatingminds.org, described it a little differently. It says that for the second and following rounds we should: “Take the responses that people send back to you and collate these into a single anonymous list or sets of lists. Send the collation back out to everyone with the request to score each item on a given scale (typically 1 to 5). You may also allow them to add further items as appropriate.” We didn’t score our responses. We just discussed them. Creatingminds.org also said we should respond anonymously.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method

http://creatingminds.org/tools/delphi.htm

3.
Groupthink (a type of thought produced when group members try to minimize conflict and reach consensus without critically testing, analyzing, and evaluating ideas.) Any time you have a group there is the danger of groupthink. "Why should I think when I can just agree?"

If people are aware of groupthink it can be reduced but not stopped completely.